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Private roads: Response to Zhang and Levinson

“Paper” original escrito por: Walter Block.

Archivo pdf original aquí.

Abstract:

Zhang and Levinson (2009) have joined the ranks of those who seriously contemplate a private road and highway industry. But their support for privatization is a limited one. The present paper is an attempt to obviate their support for restricting the economic freedom of private street and road owners.
Purpose of this paper: to promote road privatization
Design/methodology/approach: criticize Zhang and Levinson
Findings: Zhang and Levinson are fair weather friends of privatized highways
What is original/value of paper: road privatization will save thousands of lives.

Key words:

Traffic fatalities; congested highways; privatization; deregulation

JEL category:

R00

Private roads: Response to Zhang and Levinson

I wish to welcome Zhang and Levinson (2009) to the ranks of scholars who at least seriously consider the case for free enterprise roads, highways, streets, etc.

Why is it so important that these ranks be swelled? There are two reasons, one crucially imperative, the other of no little importance. The first is the fact that some 40,000 people in the U.S. perish annually from highway fatalities, and this is the fault of public ownership. Privatization is the last best hope for radically reducing this horrid statistic. The second, a minor reason compared to that one, but very important in its own right, is traffic congestion. This costs the American economy millions of dollars per year, and even fits into the first consideration in a minor way: road rage is enhanced by traffic congestion, and this in and of itself leads to road deaths.

The usual explanation given for traffic fatalities is speed, driver inattention, drunkenness and drugged driving, bad weather conditions, etc. But this is totally fallacious. Rather, the massive killings are due to the failure of government road managers to deal with these challenges. If there were private profit and loss making entrepreneurs in charge, the death rate would be radically reduced due to competition. Similarly, under private enterprise it is more than likely that peak load pricing would be introduced, and traffic congestion would be a phenomenon of the past.

So I once again repeat my congratulations to Zhang and Levinson (2009) for joining the ranks of scholars who seriously contemplate, and often even advocate, privatization of this industry. Unfortunately, this welcome must come accompanied by an asterisk. For, instead of favoring a fully free enterprise private enterprise road industry, they invite in, only, one that is greatly constrained and hemmed in by a welter of restrictions and regulations.

What is their reasoning on this matter? What are their reservations about full laissez faire in this sector of the economy? They are not fully weaned away from road socialism on these; following grounds:

“… private roads possess spatial monopoly power and will likely charge higher-than-optimal tolls on their users, leading to welfare losses. In addition, market entry barriers due to high construction cost and demand uncertainty imply that the private road economy is not a perfect market.”

This is highly problematic. Every geographical business has “spatial monopoly power.” This applies not only to “long, thin things” such as pipelines, railroads, water and sewer lines, telephone lines, etc. It also pertains to each and every commercial enterprise that takes up space, which means each and every one of them without exception. For example, bakeries, shoe stores, groceries, pharmacies, hotels, etc. How can we prove any such claim? It is simple: two things cannot occupy the same relevant space at the same time. If the jewelry store occupies 123 Elm Street in Nowhere, USA, then the filling station cannot also have this as its address.

Then, consider the claim that private roads will “charge higher-than-optimal tolls.” There are difficulties here. For one thing, this is predicated upon an outdated, mischievous understanding of monopoly versus perfect competition. Among the other fallacies of this perspective are that it involves invalid interpersonal comparisons of utility. How does the state know what the optimal price for road usage would be? To think that it does is to ignore the contributions of many economists to the debate over socialist calculation. If we have learned anything from this debate, it is that central planners, in the absence of market prices, cannot rationally plan. Yet, it is the very market prices that would emanate under road privatization that Zhang and Levinson are advocating be undermined.

For another, this relies upon the institution, the government, which is responsible for the massive traffic deaths in the first place. These authors in effect are relying on one branch of the government, the anti-trust regulators, to overcome the flaws in the polices of another branch, those in charge of roads, streets and highways. Suppose one division of a supermarket created problems, let us suppose the meat and butcher section. Would we choose to ameliorate this another branch, for example that which deals with fruit and vegetables? They would hardly be our first choice, since we would look to the root of the initial difficulty and see that entire institution as problematical.

Zhang and Levinson continue their rejection of a fully free market for highways:

“Therefore, comparing a centralized public ownership with an unregulated private ownership is not fair because in theory, proper regulations on private roads can improve welfare…. Limited by the length of the paper, we will only consider the price ceiling regulation in which a global maximum toll level (e.g., $3 per km) is set for all private roads.”

Very much to the contrary, it is exceedingly fair to
compare a centralized public ownership with an unregulated private ownership. The present situation, it bears repeated, creates some 40,000 needless deaths per year. The best estimate for the number of needless fatalities in the latter case is around 10,000. Thus, 30,000 people could be saved on an annual basis. It is not only “fair” it is imperative to compare these two very different systems of road management. Many innocent lives are at stake.

If economics 101 teaches us anything, it is that a price ceiling at any level brings about a shortage. We all can picture the supply and demand drawing with an illustrated maximum price placed below equilibrium. What ensues? Well, demand exceeds supply and we have a shortage. Even on the basis of interventionist neo-classical economics, it simply makes no sense to impose a “$3 per km” on every roadway. Surely, the supply and demand conditions would not be homogeneous all throughout the entire country. And also if we want to have a full employment enactment for economists, we should spend vast amounts of treasure on us dismal scientists so that we can figure out which price ceilings should be placed upon which streets and avenues?

The next arrow in the quiver of is this:

“For any regulatory policy, there is also the issue of optimal regulation. In the case of price ceiling, the optimal ceiling price that maximizes social welfare needs to be determined so that the full potential of the regulation can be appreciated.”

Here, these authors are entirely correct. It is indeed important to determine “the optimal ceiling price.” But, from reading in between the lines, one gets the impression that in their view it would be impossible for the optimal ceiling price to be none at all. Rather, what they appear to have in mind is some price, perhaps not the exact same for all roads that lies below equilibrium. But why will the “full potential” be realized when shortages are created? Who benefits from when demand exceeds supply? It is difficult to see that anyone would, except for the bureaucrats charged with rationing a limited supply amongst numerous customers. However, we already have just that situation: traffic congestion. And, we already have a maximum price set below equilibrium, at present. It is a zero price.

Last but not least, Zhang and Levinson deviate from the free enterprise position as follows:

“When the ceiling price is too high, its influence on private roads’ pricing and investment decisions is marginal. When it is too low, private roads may not be willing to expand an under-built network to the optimal capacity level. We identify the optimal ceiling price by simulating a large number of alternative ceiling prices (i.e., from $0 to $10 per km in $0.1 increments) and evaluating the corresponding welfare measures. Although a global ceiling price for all links is assumed herein for simplicity, the optimal ceiling price in theory could vary on a link-by-link basis.”
Happily, our authors make the best of a bad business by allowing that regulated prices cannot be of a one size fits all variety. Their comment about high ceilings being marginal is also in the right direction. If they are high enough, they will have no effect whatsoever. For example, if the maximum price allowed is $1 million per inch travelled, it would not “bite” at all. But then comes the full employment for economists consideration: doing empirical research on this matter.

I, along with all other dismal scientists approve of this as a matter of instinct. But not when so many innocent lives are at stake. Let us have instead full free enterprise, unencumbered by price controls, and a radical reduction in traffic fatalities.

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Ciudades de 15 minutos

To remove a man who has committed no misdemeanour, from the parish where he chooses to reside, is an evident violation of natural liberty and justice. The common people of England (…) have now, for more than a century together, suffered themselves to be exposed to this oppression without a remedy (…) There is scarce a poor man in England, of forty years of age, I will venture to say, who has not, in some part of his life, felt himself most cruelly oppressed by this ill-contrived law of settlements.

Adam Smith. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations

Últimamente está de moda -curiosamente a la vez en diversas partes del globo… maravillosa “globalización”-, con motivo de ese calentamiento global que nos ha tenido pelados de frío, hablar de las “ciudades 15 minutos” (o “cronourbanismo”, si lo prefieren), una idea  con la que esos políticos  que tanto se  desvelan por nosotros (el insomnio sistemático del Tito Berni y sus comilitones es sólo un ejemplo) tienen, según se nos dice, la intención de conseguir acercar los servicios a los ciudadanos -a un máximo “de 15 minutos andando o en bici”, ya saben, de ahí el apodo- a fin de que no tengamos que movernos para poder ir al médico, a la compra, a trabajar, a estudiar, a disfrutar del ocio o “de la cultura”… o “de la naturaleza”.

Eso sí, parece que habrá algún tipo de limitación -minimísima- a quien “se pase” y utilice, “demasiado”, según qué carretera de salida o entrada de su lugar de residencia a la hora que no le parezca al burócrata de turno (sin esas limitaciones, sinceramente, no tendría sentido que estuviésemos hablando de todo esto y los políticos sólo nos venderían la importante inversión que van a realizar duplicando recursos por nuestro bien y dado que la malévola iniciativa privada no se presta a ello por espurios, inconfesables y malignos intereses… lo de siempre con sifón, vaya).

El objetivo, por supuesto, irrenunciable como pocos, es reducir “la huella de carbono” al facilitarle al ciudadano tenerlo todo a tiro de piedra e impedirle la libertad absoluta de tránsito (hay que embridar al ciudadano, ya saben, que si no, siempre se pasa y sólo quiere fastidiar), pero en una espiral virtuosa donde los efectos colaterales positivos son aparentemente infinitos: beneficios “al pequeño negocio”, mejoras para “la salud de los ciudadanos” (al disminuir las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero y permitir una vida más tranquila), una mejor “ habitabilidad”, reforzar los vínculos, reforzar el “sentido de comunidad” a lo Jane Jacobs…  y un larguísimo etcétera. El único inconveniente es que se pisotea la libertad, pequeño detalle, con oscuros resabios del “panóptico carcelario” benthamiano;  pero poco sacrificio me parece si con esas medidas reducimos el CO2, que, según parece, constituye ya el terrorífico 0,04 % –400 partes por millón (sic)-, de la atmósfera.

 Curiosamente es Inglaterra uno de los países en los que con más ganas se están probando estas “nuevas ideas” ya desde los años 60 -con el plan de Barrios de tráfico reducido-, pero sobre todo en los últimos años, con Oxford como espejo en el que poder mirar lo guapos que nos vamos a poner (y que es la ciudad en la que ya ha empezado a haber problemas por algunas restricciones “temporales”, y muy bien intencionadas, en la libertad ambulatoria de sus vecinos).

Por supuesto, la prensa de siempre está dejando claras no sólo las bondades del proyecto, sino la maldad -o estupidez– de los “conspiracionistas” que lo rechazan, injustamente, por considerar que es una vuelta de tuerca más para limitar nuestras libertades. Algún díscolo -aunque son pocos, gracias a Dios-, está que no está, y no se fía de esos “conspiranoicos” que consideran estas futuras “ciudades” un “plan maquiavélico” para encerrarnos, pero tampoco quieren creer a “quienes nos venden este modelo como una alternativa libre de problemas y, sobre todo, libre de ocultas intenciones” -ni fu ni fa, vaya- y limitan los posibles aviesos designios de los ideólogos de esta maravilla a la simple intención de limitar del “vehículo privado” (lo que, visto lo que está ocurriendo en Madrid, por ejemplo, no sería una novedad a la que mereciese dedicar ni un minuto).

El problema es que, como atribuyen a Mark Twain, “la historia no se repite, pero rima”, y en este caso esa rima parece consonante y acompañada por la misma melodía de siempre, nada novedosa, por cierto. Y es que los conspiranoicos serán “malos” o “tontos”, pero en esto no están demostrando ser demasiado imaginativos:

Los soviéticos -expertos en todo lo que tenía que ver con la “supervisión”- tenían ya algo que, a mí, paranoide donde los haya, me recuerda a la herramienta de control que ven algunos -aunque sin los afinados mecanismos que permite la tecnología actual-: un sistema de “fiscalización” de la población mediante permisos de residencia y la prohibición a los empleadores de contratar a quien no estuviese en su sitio y no tuviese, por tanto, la “propiska local” (o permiso de residencia) correspondiente. Cierto es que en el paraíso socialista no había gente necesitada, todos eran inmensamente felices y comían perdices -reales o imaginadas- gracias a papacito Estado, con lo que dicho sistema de “control” debía ser pura veleidad, superflua e inútil, de algún burócrata despistado con exceso de celo.

También los nazis crearon barrios cerrados en los que se tenía accesible todo lo que ellos consideraban necesario para la población “acercada”; en ese caso se llamaban guetos, y a quienes ahí vivían se les obligaba a llevar un distintivo en la solapa (distintivo que ya no hará falta, gracias también a las tecnologías de reconocimiento de matrículas o facial). Lo que pasó después con esos guetos es una de las páginas más sórdidas, luctuosas y lamentables de la Historia.

Pero la idea venía ya de antes y recuerda demasiado -a mi mente enferma, ya saben-, a las famosas leyes inglesas -ay, la Pérfida Albión, con ese Oxford que están poniendo tan futurista- de Asentamientos (“Law of Settlements”) -que servían para completar a las “leyes de pobres” de los Tudor-, y por las que los menesterosos en general tenían prohibido mudarse de una “parroquia” a otra sin la autorización formal y escrita de la parroquia de origen (mecanismo de “mera observación”, como otro cualquiera). Y es que eran numerosas, en aquella época, las hordas de mendigos que -como recuerdan entre otros el libertario Albert Jay Nock en su “Nuestro enemigo, el Estado”- habían sido creadas por el latrocinio coactivo del mismo que vino después a establecer las medidas para “solucionar” el problema que había creado, es decir, el Estado:

Los horrores de la vida industrial de Inglaterra (…) se debían a la intervención primaria del Estado por la cual se expropió la tierra a la población de Inglaterra; debido a la eliminación de la tierra de la competencia con la industria de trabajo por parte del Estado. Tampoco el sistema fabril y la “revolución industrial” tuvieron nada que ver en crear esas hordas de miserables. Cuando el sistema fabril vino, esas hordas ya estaban ahí, expropiados

Albert Jay Nock. Nuestro enemigo, el Estado, Unión Editorial 2013, pág. 165.

Se me dirá que exagero y que no es lo mismo: que la finalidad de los casos históricos comentados no tiene nada que ver con lo que pretenden los comunistas de Más Madrid, adalides del ecologismo planetario; o que una cosa es poner orden y racionalidad, y otra prohibir; o que hoy no somos legión quienes queremos cambiar de residencia y no tenemos con qué sustentarnos, sin que haya ninguna amenaza en lontananza de la que debamos preocuparnos.

El Estado era malo, como mucho, antes, por ignorancia e ingenuidad, pero quienes gobiernan han aprendido y ya sí saben cómo velar por nuestro bien:  la IA sólo irá en nuestro beneficio y no hay manera de que se creen hordas de mendigos sin trabajo por las máquinas, sobre todo en un mercado laboral tan bien regulado como el que tenemos; la crisis de deuda, para un Estado con facultad de “imprimir dinero”, no es un problema (lo que les digo, si es que “la vida puede ser maravillosa”); las leyes de bienestar animal, entre otras, que hacen cada vez más difícil la vida en el campo -donde podríamos ser libres, como los mendigos antes de las expropiaciones “tudorianas”-, son por nuestro bien, aunque ahoguen de manera irremediable a quienes allí viven, pero precisamente porque son unos ignorantes a quienes tienes que venir los urbanitas a enseñar cómo se deben hacer las cosas… etc…

Es verdad que no estamos todavía en una cárcel -al menos desde que salimos de los inconstitucionales confinamientos-; pero visto lo visto, y la inclinación natural que tienen quienes nos gobiernan a ir siempre en la misma liberticida dirección, no estoy tranquilo… Además, hay algo incontestable: según el Foro Económico Mundial, ese faro inmerecido que otea, por nosotros, el futuro más furtivo, en 2030 “no tendrás nada”, y serás feliz… ay, los mendigos expropiados ingleses…

Y, quizás de nuevo por la rima, se me viene también a la cabeza otra frase de Adam Smith, relativa a cómo reaccionó la gente ante las Leyes de Asentamiento británicas:

Though men of reflection, too, have some times complained of the law of settlements as a public grievance; yet it has never been the object of any general popular clamour

Adam Smith. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations

Y algo, como un escalofrío, se empeña en recorrer mi espalda.  La idea ya está lanzada… es cuestión de esperar a que a Mr. Overton le dé por pasar por delante de nuestra ventana, o que se presente, “espontáneo” e imprevisto, algún “shock”, a lo Naomi Klein. Y si no, al tiempo.

Y yo me pregunto… si “resilientemente” aceptamos caminar hacia el precipicio liberticida “un, dos, tres pasitos pa´lante, María” para después morir de júbilo por dar “un pasito pa´tras”… antes de volver a avanzar, ¿dónde acabamos?  “Libre, como el ave que escapó de su prisión, y puede, al fin, volar; libre”.